Chingford and Woodford Green (UK Parliament constituency)
Chingford and Woodford Green | |
---|---|
Borough constituency for the House of Commons | |
![]() Interactive map of boundaries from 2024 | |
![]() Boundary within Greater London | |
County | Greater London |
Population | 88,149 (2011 census)[1] |
Electorate | 75,677 (2023)[2] |
Current constituency | |
Created | 1997 |
Member of Parliament | Iain Duncan Smith (Conservative) |
Seats | One |
Created from | Chingford and Wanstead & Woodford |
Chingford and Woodford Green is a constituency in North East London represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament by Sir Iain Duncan Smith of the Conservative Party since its creation in 1997.[a]
Constituency profile
[edit]The seat covers the outer London commuter suburbs of Chingford, Highams Park and Woodford with high levels of owner-occupier housing,[3] along with part of Epping Forest. Once safely Conservative, the seat is now marginal with Labour due to young families and ethnic minority voters moving into the constituency.[4]
Boundaries
[edit]1997–2024: The London Borough of Waltham Forest wards of Chingford Green, Endlebury, Hale End and Highams Park, Hatch Lane, Larkswood, Valley, and the London Borough of Redbridge wards of Church End and Monkhams.
2024–present: The London Borough of Redbridge wards of Bridge, Churchfields, and Monkhams, and the London Borough of Waltham Forest wards of Chingford Green, Endlebury, Hatch End and Highams Park South (part), Hatch Lane and Highams Park North, Larswood (part), Valley, and Upper Walthamstow (part).[5]
- Expanded to the south-east to include the Bridge ward and the remainder of the Churchfields ward, transferred from Ilford North. The part of the South Woodford ward was transferred to Leyton and Wanstead.
History
[edit]Pre creation
[edit]Before 1945, both Chingford and Woodford were part of the Epping parliamentary constituency, for which wartime Conservative Prime Minister Winston Churchill was MP. The Chingford and Woodford Green constituency was created in 1997 from parts of the former seats of Chingford and Wanstead and Woodford. Both seats previously had well-known MPs, Norman Tebbit and Winston Churchill respectively. Iain Duncan Smith had been MP for Chingford since 1992, then was elected MP for this constituency five years later in 1997.
Post creation
[edit]At the seat's inauguration at the 1997 general election, there was a Conservative majority of over 5000 or 13%; the Conservatives retained the seat in 2001 with a majority little changed on a low turnout. In 2005, the Conservative incumbent did better, getting twice as many votes as Labour with a swing to the party of 6.4% (over double that nationally) from Labour.
The 2015 result gave the seat the 119th most marginal majority of the Conservative Party's 331 seats by percentage of majority.[6]
At the 2017 snap election, Duncan Smith was re-elected with a greatly reduced majority on a 7% swing to Labour, slightly more than a sixth of his 2010 margin.
The 2019 general election saw the Conservatives retaining the seat, although with a smaller majority than 2017 due to a swing to Labour, contrary to the national trend, making it the 15th most marginal Conservative seat by percentage of majority.
Faiza Shaheen, who had been Labour's candidate in 2019, was again selected as candidate by the local party in 2022, but was deselected after the July 2024 election was announced due to the nature of social media posts she had liked. She then resigned from the Labour Party and stood as an independent candidate for the constituency.[7] Prior to that, it was described as the 10th most likely seat to switch in a ranking of Labour's targets.[8]
Member of Parliament
[edit]Election | Member[9][10] | Party | Notes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1997 | Iain Duncan Smith | Conservative | MP for Chingford (1992–1997) |
Elections
[edit]Elections in the 2020s
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Iain Duncan Smith | 17,281 | 35.6 | −12.6 | |
Labour | Shama Tatler | 12,524 | 25.8 | −19.5 | |
Independent | Faiza Shaheen | 12,445 | 25.7 | N/A | |
Reform UK | Paul Luggeri | 3,653 | 7.5 | +7.2 | |
Green | Chris Brody[b] | 1,334 | 2.7 | +2.3 | |
Liberal Democrats | Josh Hadley | 1,275 | 2.6 | −3.2 | |
Majority | 4,758 | 9.8 | +7.2 | ||
Turnout | 48,512 | 64.5 | −7.7 | ||
Registered electors | 75,178 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing | +3.5 |
Elections in the 2010s
[edit]2019 notional result[13] | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | Vote | % | |
Conservative | 26,322 | 48.2 | |
Labour | 24,718 | 45.3 | |
Liberal Democrats | 3,193 | 5.8 | |
Green | 213 | 0.4 | |
Brexit Party | 160 | 0.3 | |
Turnout | 54,606 | 72.2 | |
Electorate | 75,677 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Iain Duncan Smith | 23,481 | 48.5 | –0.6 | |
Labour | Faiza Shaheen | 22,219 | 45.9 | +2.0 | |
Liberal Democrats | Geoffrey Seeff | 2,744 | 5.6 | +1.2 | |
Majority | 1,262 | 2.6 | –2.6 | ||
Turnout | 48,444 | 74.1 | +2.9 | ||
Registered electors | 65,393 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing | –1.3 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Iain Duncan Smith | 23,076 | 49.1 | +1.2 | |
Labour | Bilal Mahmood | 20,638 | 43.9 | +15.1 | |
Liberal Democrats | Deborah Unger | 2,043 | 4.4 | –1.1 | |
Green | Sinead King | 1,204 | 2.6 | –1.6 | |
Majority | 2,438 | 5.2 | –13.9 | ||
Turnout | 46,961 | 71.2 | +5.5 | ||
Registered electors | 65,958 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing | –7.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Iain Duncan Smith | 20,999 | 47.9 | –4.9 | |
Labour | Bilal Mahmood | 12,613 | 28.8 | +6.1 | |
UKIP | Freddy Vachha | 5,644 | 12.9 | +10.3 | |
Liberal Democrats | Anne Crook | 2,400 | 5.5 | –11.3 | |
Green | Rebecca Tully | 1,854 | 4.2 | +2.7 | |
TUSC | Len Hockey[19] | 241 | 0.6 | New | |
Class War | Lisa Mckenzie | 53 | 0.1 | New | |
Majority | 8,386 | 19.1 | –11.0 | ||
Turnout | 43,804 | 65.7 | –0.8 | ||
Registered electors | 66,680 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing | –5.5 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Iain Duncan Smith | 22,743 | 52.8 | –0.4 | |
Labour | Cath Arakelian | 9,780 | 22.7 | –3.0 | |
Liberal Democrats | Geoffrey Seeff | 7,242 | 16.8 | –0.9 | |
BNP | Julian Leppert | 1,288 | 3.0 | New | |
UKIP | Nick Jones | 1,133 | 2.6 | –0.2 | |
Green | Lucy Craig | 650 | 1.5 | New | |
Independent | None Of The Above[c] | 202 | 0.5 | New | |
Independent | Barry White | 68 | 0.2 | New | |
Majority | 12,963 | 30.1 | +2.6 | ||
Turnout | 43,106 | 66.5 | +3.5 | ||
Registered electors | 64,831 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing | +1.3 |
Elections in the 2000s
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Iain Duncan Smith | 20,555 | 53.2 | +5.0 | |
Labour | Simon Wright | 9,914 | 25.7 | –7.7 | |
Liberal Democrats | John Beanse | 6,832 | 17.7 | +2.2 | |
UKIP | Michael McGough | 1,078 | 2.8 | New | |
Independent | Barry White | 269 | 0.7 | New | |
Majority | 10,641 | 27.5 | +12.7 | ||
Turnout | 38,648 | 63.0 | +1.5 | ||
Registered electors | 61,386 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing | +6.4 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Iain Duncan Smith | 17,834 | 48.2 | +0.7 | |
Labour | Jessica Webb | 12,347 | 33.4 | –1.2 | |
Liberal Democrats | John Beanse | 5,739 | 15.5 | 0.0 | |
BNP | Jean Griffin | 1,062 | 2.9 | +0.5 | |
Majority | 5,487 | 14.8 | +1.9 | ||
Turnout | 36,982 | 58.5 | –12.2 | ||
Registered electors | 63,252 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing | +1.0 |
Elections in the 1990s
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Iain Duncan Smith | 21,109 | 47.5 | ||
Labour | Tommy Hutchinson | 15,395 | 34.6 | ||
Liberal Democrats | Geoffrey Seeff | 6,885 | 15.5 | ||
BNP | Alan Gould | 1,059 | 2.4 | ||
Majority | 5,714 | 12.9 | |||
Turnout | 44,448 | 70.7 | |||
Registered electors | 62,904 | ||||
Conservative win (new seat) |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
- ^ After nominations for the 2024 general election closed, the Green Party suspended Chris Brody and withdrew all support for his campaign on 21 June 2024.[12]
- ^ Original name Adam Osen
References
[edit]- ^ "Chingford and Woodford Green: Usual Resident Population, 2011". Neighbourhood Statistics. Office for National Statistics. Retrieved 23 February 2015.
- ^ "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – London". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 19 June 2024.
- ^ UK Polling Report http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/chingfordandwoodfordgreen/
- ^ Tribune https://tribunemag.co.uk/2019/01/the-new-marginal
- ^ "New Seat Details - Chingford and Woodford Green". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 29 March 2024.
- ^ "Conservative Members of Parliament 2015". UK Political.info. Archived from the original on 8 June 2017. Retrieved 12 February 2017.
- ^ "Conservative Defence 2024". Election polling. Retrieved 6 March 2024.
- ^ Jones, Ian (22 May 2024). "General Election top target seats, by party". Evening Standard. Retrieved 22 May 2024.
- ^ "Chingford and Woodford Green 1997–". Parliamentary Debates (Hansard). Retrieved 2 February 2015.
- ^ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "C" (part 4)
- ^ "Statement of Person Nominated and Notice of Poll: Chingford and Woodford Green Constituency" (PDF). Waltham Forest Council. 7 June 2024.
- ^ "Green Party suspends Chingford and Woodford Green candidate". Waltham Forest Echo. 21 June 2024. Retrieved 21 June 2024.
- ^ "Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019". Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News. UK Parliament. Retrieved 11 July 2024.
- ^ "Chingford & Woodford Green Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 23 November 2019.
- ^ "Chingford & Woodford Green parliamentary constituency". BBC News.
- ^ Baker, Carl (14 July 2017). "General Election 2017: results and analysis – Briefing paper number CBP 7979" (PDF). House of Commons Library. Retrieved 14 November 2019.
- ^ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
- ^ "General Election results, 7 May 2015". Walthamforest.gov.uk. 7 May 2015. Archived from the original on 2 October 2015. Retrieved 1 October 2015.
- ^ "Trade unionist chosen to stand at election (From East London and West Essex Guardian Series)". Guardian-series.co.uk. 5 March 2015. Retrieved 1 October 2015.
- ^ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
- ^ http://www.walthamforest.gov.uk/sopn-chingford.pdf. Retrieved 20 April 2010.
{{cite web}}
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(help)[dead link] - ^ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
Sources
[edit]- Election result, 2005 (BBC)
- Election results, 1997 – 2001 (BBC)
- Election results, 1997 – 2005 Archived 2000-12-07 at the Wayback Machine (Election Demon)
- Election results, 1997 – 2005 (Guardian)
External links
[edit]- nomis Constituency Profile for Chingford and Woodford Green — presenting data from the ONS annual population survey and other official statistics.
- Politics Resources (Election results from 1922 onwards)
- Electoral Calculus (Election results from 1955 onwards)
- Chingford and Woodford Green UK Parliament constituency (boundaries April 1997 – April 2010) at MapIt UK
- Chingford and Woodford Green UK Parliament constituency (boundaries April 2010 – May 2024) at MapIt UK
- Chingford and Woodford Green UK Parliament constituency (boundaries from June 2024) at MapIt UK